Same home, same stay month, both bookings made 180 or more days before arrival, so unit mix, seasonality and lead time are all held constant. July 2027 is contracting at $1,110 against $1,571 for July 2026. $71,650 of rent has already gone uncaptured on 260 booked nights, and 2027 is only about 2% written, so nearly the whole season is still exposed.
Same home, same stay month, and both bookings made 180 or more days before arrival. Unit mix, seasonality and lead time are all held constant, so what is left is rate.
| Stay Month | Homes | ADR, 2026 to 2027 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| July | 19 | $1,571.20 → $1,109.87 | -29.4% |
| August | 5 | $1,861.71 → $1,341.43 | -27.9% |
| September | 1 | $792.03 → $602.10 | -24.0% |
| June | 14 | $925.67 → $916.59 | -1.0% |
| May | 6 | $1,232.51 → $1,245.46 | +1.1% |
2027 is between 0.4% and 2.8% booked against 2026's final reservation counts. July is 2.3% written. The pattern is set by the earliest and highest paying guests, and the rest of the season is still open. A booked night cannot be repriced.
Each link opens the day by day comparison for one booked 2027 reservation against the same home and dates in 2026, from the reservation record.
Same home, same summer week, booked far out both years.
Same guest, same unit, same week, third year running. Booked 363 days out, 36% earlier than last year.
Five nights both years, $640.40 less per night.
These three are exhibits, not the population. The $71,650 figure covers all 260 far-out nights booked for 2027 to date, and grows as new bookings land at current rates. Eagles Nest and Stargazer are also each other's only comparable in the pricing configuration, so the two largest declines here are a matched pair with no external anchor.