Prepared for Nadine HuckPacer Revenue Management
August 12, 2026
2027 Forward Book · Seabrook

Peak 2027 is contracting 32% below 2026.

Each 2027 night booked 180 or more days ahead, against the same home's 2026 night for the same calendar dates, also booked 180 or more days ahead. Home, dates and lead time all held constant. July is contracting 33.5%, August 27.7%. $43,695 of rent has already gone uncaptured on the 170 date-matched nights (broader month-pooled reads: $63,263 to $71,650), and 2027 is only about 2% written. Every home is linked inside, night by night.

48 home and month pairs170 date-matched nightsCreated August 12, 2026Source: Track reservation record
-33.5%
July 2027 vs 2026 · same homes, same dates, same lead
$43,695
Rent not captured on date-matched nights
2.3%
Of July 2027 written · the rest is still open
48
Homes linked in the appendix, night by night
Forward Book · As of August 12, 2026

Peak 2027 is contracting 32% below 2026

Each 2027 night booked 180 or more days ahead, against the same home's 2026 night for the same calendar dates, also booked 180 or more days ahead. Home, dates and lead time are all held constant, so what is left is rate. Rent is allocated to nights stayed, matching how Seabrook budgets and pays owners.

Stay MonthHomesADR, 2026 to 2027Change
July14$1,686.67 → $1,122.00-33.5%
August11$1,655.39 → $1,196.02-27.7%
September1$710.10 → $602.10-15.2%
June14$1,014.63 → $983.33-3.1%
May2$1,869.67 → $1,781.55-4.7%
Jan to Apr6small samples, mixed: -6.4% to +26.1%
Source: Seabrook's Track reservation record via the Pacer warehouse. Each 2027 night is matched to the same home's 2026 night 364 days earlier (day of week preserved, nearest far-out night within 3 days). 170 of the 577 far-out 2027 nights have such an anchor; the rest are excluded rather than estimated. Pooled by stay month instead of exact dates, the same data reads July -27.0% on the stayed-night basis and -29.4% on the check-in basis: the direction is identical under every method. Every home here is broken down night by night in the appendix.
Rent Not Captured So Far
$43,695
across 170 date-matched nights, 48 home and month pairs
Strictest cut: same home, same dates, same lead time. The broader month-pooled reads are $63,263 (stayed-night) and $71,650 (check-in basis). Grows as bookings land.
The exposure is the part not yet booked

2027 is between 0.4% and 2.8% booked against 2026's final reservation counts. July is 2.3% written. The pattern is set by the earliest and highest paying guests, and the rest of the season is still open. A booked night cannot be repriced.

Source: Pacer warehouse, reservation counts by stay month
2027 Forward BookSeabrook · Page 1
Exhibits

Three of the reservations, directly

Each link opens the day by day comparison for one booked 2027 reservation against the same home and dates in 2026, from the reservation record.

Stargazer · 5 BR
-44.5%
$9,140.00 → $5,075.10 for the stay

Same home, same summer week, booked far out both years.

seabrook-stargazer-comparison.pages.dev

Blue Lantern Cottage · 4 BR
-41.5%
$2,261.20 → $1,321.80 per night

Same guest, same unit, same week, third year running. Booked 363 days out, 36% earlier than last year.

seabrook-blue-lantern-comparison.pages.dev

Eagles Nest · 5 BR
-34.8%
$9,213.00 → $6,011.00 for the stay

Five nights both years, $640.40 less per night.

seabrook-eagles-nest-comparison.pages.dev

Every matched home is linked, not just these three. seabrook-summer-2027.pages.dev lists every summer 2027 home booked below last year, one flat list, worst first, with reservation created dates. seabrook-2027-appendix.pages.dev has the full year by month. Both show, night by night: each 2027 night beside the same home's 2026 night for the same dates, with the stays and lead times behind them. These three are exhibits of the pattern. The $43,695 figure covers the 170 date-matched nights booked so far, and grows as new bookings land at current rates. Eagles Nest and Stargazer are also each other's only comparable in the pricing configuration, so the two largest declines here are a matched pair with no external anchor.

Rates are rent actually contracted on each booking, not calendar list prices. Pages carry Seabrook branding and are shareable as is.
2027 Forward BookSeabrook · Page 2