Each 2027 night booked 180 or more days ahead, against the same home's 2026 night for the same calendar dates, also booked 180 or more days ahead. Home, dates and lead time all held constant. July is contracting 33.5%, August 27.7%. $43,695 of rent has already gone uncaptured on the 170 date-matched nights (broader month-pooled reads: $63,263 to $71,650), and 2027 is only about 2% written. Every home is linked inside, night by night.
Each 2027 night booked 180 or more days ahead, against the same home's 2026 night for the same calendar dates, also booked 180 or more days ahead. Home, dates and lead time are all held constant, so what is left is rate. Rent is allocated to nights stayed, matching how Seabrook budgets and pays owners.
| Stay Month | Homes | ADR, 2026 to 2027 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| July | 14 | $1,686.67 → $1,122.00 | -33.5% |
| August | 11 | $1,655.39 → $1,196.02 | -27.7% |
| September | 1 | $710.10 → $602.10 | -15.2% |
| June | 14 | $1,014.63 → $983.33 | -3.1% |
| May | 2 | $1,869.67 → $1,781.55 | -4.7% |
| Jan to Apr | 6 | small samples, mixed: -6.4% to +26.1% | |
2027 is between 0.4% and 2.8% booked against 2026's final reservation counts. July is 2.3% written. The pattern is set by the earliest and highest paying guests, and the rest of the season is still open. A booked night cannot be repriced.
Each link opens the day by day comparison for one booked 2027 reservation against the same home and dates in 2026, from the reservation record.
Same home, same summer week, booked far out both years.
Same guest, same unit, same week, third year running. Booked 363 days out, 36% earlier than last year.
Five nights both years, $640.40 less per night.
Every matched home is linked, not just these three. seabrook-summer-2027.pages.dev lists every summer 2027 home booked below last year, one flat list, worst first, with reservation created dates. seabrook-2027-appendix.pages.dev has the full year by month. Both show, night by night: each 2027 night beside the same home's 2026 night for the same dates, with the stays and lead times behind them. These three are exhibits of the pattern. The $43,695 figure covers the 170 date-matched nights booked so far, and grows as new bookings land at current rates. Eagles Nest and Stargazer are also each other's only comparable in the pricing configuration, so the two largest declines here are a matched pair with no external anchor.